There is a very strange gamble taking place on the 3.10 at Market Rasen this afternoon.
Capisci, a one-time inmate of the powerful Willie Mullins stable, has been backed with all the major bookmaking firms from an opening quote of 11/1 into half those odds.
The horse is now owned and trained by Sarah-Jayne Davies, a newcomer to the training ranks. In fact this is only her second ever runner, her first was eleven days ago when Capisci finished last over the course and distance.
On a positive note Capisci ran better than the bare form figure suggests. He was in contention for much of the contest and only tired in the closing stages when passed by three of the other runners.
Another potential positive is that Capisci actually won a race when in the care of Willie Mullins. It was a Kilbeggan bumper on his second racecourse start in july of last year. That said, it was probably one of the weakest contests ever run at the West-Meath venue. None of the eleven runners from that race have managed to win a race since.
This is what Willie Mullins said after the Kilbeggan win: "that was probably not the strongest bumper ever but it was a great improvement from the last day. The ground was the key as he was much better suited to that surface. He will go hurdling but we might look at a winners bumper for him next. He has the size and scope to go chasing eventually and I was very pleased with the way he stayed on and he might be a three mile chaser in time."
The trainer was spot on in his assessment of the strength of the race that day so it will be interesting to see if his other predictions regarding the horse needing decent ground (it was good at Kilbeggan; it is soft at Market Rasen) and developing into a staying chaser come to fruition.
Capisci hasn't beaten a single horse in four starts this year, but someone thought they knew something when he made his debut for Sarah-Jayne Davies less than two weeks ago as the gelding was also punted on that ocassion from 12/1 in the morning into a returned SP of just 7/2.