Irish Derby Tips: Tennessee Stud Backed For Redemption

The Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby is the big race of the weekend, with the Curragh Classic set to go to post on Sunday afternoon at 4.10pm.

All 10 entries stood their ground at the declaration stage with the Aidan O'Brien-trained Lambourn heading the field in his bid to emulate his sire, Australia, by becoming a dual Derby winner.

The placed horses from Epsom - Lazy Griff and Tennessee Stud - are set to take him on again, while O'Brien will saddle five of the 10-runner field in his quest for a 17th Irish Derby victory.

Irish Derby Tips

4.101m. 4f. 10 Declared.
Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) of €1,250,000.00 3-y-o

• Formscan
• Race Info
• Conditions

1st - €725,000.00 2nd - €250,000.00 3rd - €125,000.00 4th - €62,500.00 5th - €37,500.00 6th - €25,000.00 7th - €12,500.00 8th - €12,500.00 Going - Good: Changed to Good, Good to Firm in places after Race 7. Partly Cloudy

Formscan By Alan Magee- The first three home at Epsom renew rivalry and LAMBOURN is taken to again come out on top over Lazy Griff and Tennessee Stud. The Aidan O’Brien-trained colt was confirming previous Chester form with the runner-up and is likely to again be ridden prominently with stamina clearly proven. Tennessee Stud kept on well from an unpromising position and could now get closer, while Pride Of Arras reportedly didn’t handle the track at Epsom and previously impressed in the Dante at York. Green Impact lost a shoe in the 2000 Guineas but bounced back to score over 1m1f at Leopardstown and could be a threat to all if staying this trip, while Puppet Master won the Lingfield Derby Trial and has scope for further improvement.

For three years old colts and fillies only
Weights - 9st 2lbs Fillies allowed 3lbs

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  Odds Shortening Odds Lengthening

25	1st	Lambourn	4/5 4/7	8/13
910	4th	Tennessee Stud	9/2 13/2	6/1
48	10th	Pride Of Arras	6/1 12/1	10/1
16	6th	Green Impact	13/2 10/1	10/1
34	3rd	Lazy Griff		11/1
57	9th	Puppet Master	16/1 11/1	12/1
61	2nd	Serious Contender	50/1 20/1	25/1
82	5th	Sir Dinadan		40/1
79	8th	Shackleton		50/1
103	7th	Thrice		80/1
Betting Percentage				120%
Each-Way Terms				3 1/5

 

2⁵

Lambourn 4

8/13

1st

Rating: 120

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8/13

3 1/5

4/5 8/13 15:50

9¹⁰

Tennessee Stud 4

6/1

4th

Rating: 112

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6/1

3 1/5

5/1 13/2 15:50

4⁸

Pride Of Arras 4

10/1

10th

Rating: 112

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10/1

3 1/5

13/2 9/1 15:50

1⁶

Green Impact 4

10/1

6th

Rating: 112

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10/1

3 1/5

7/1 9/1 15:50

3⁴

Lazy Griff 4

11/1

3rd

Rating: 114

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11/1

3 1/5

5⁷

Puppet Master 4

12/1

9th

Rating: 105

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12/1

3 1/5

6¹

Serious Contender 4

25/1

2nd

Rating: 101

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25/1

3 1/5

40/1 20/1 13:02

8²

Sir Dinadan 4

40/1

5th

Rating: 102

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40/1

3 1/5

7⁹

Shackleton 4

50/1

8th

Rating: 101

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50/1

3 1/5

10³

Thrice 4

80/1

7th

Rating: 102

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80/1

3 1/5

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Lambourn needs to prove it again

Lambourn ran out a convincing winner at Epsom, but it has to be conceded that Wayne Lordan was given something of a free pass up front.

Nothing got near him bar Lazy Griff and he'd sat closer to the pace than most. It is improbable now that Ryan Moore will be allowed to dictate matters quite so easily.

Ballydoyle stars Galileo (2001), High Chaparral (2002), Camelot (2012), Australia (2014) and Auguste Rodin (2023) have completed the Epsom-Curragh double in the past.

Lambourn is now rated 120, which leaves him towards the lower end of his trainer's 11 Epsom Derby winners.

Lambourn is the equal of Ruler Of The World (2013) and Wings Of Eagles (2017), both of which were beaten here after their Epsom wins.

He will almost certainly have to improve again - which he may well do - to complete this Classic double and, at odds-on, he is opposable.

Tennessee Stud to turn things around

The bronze medal at Epsom went to TENNESSEE STUD, but there's good reason to believe Joseph O'Brien's colt could avenge that defeat back on home soil.

He won 2-4 last season, running well behind Puppet Master and Hotazhell in his defeats and signed off by winning the Criterium de Saint-Cloud on soft going in October.

He looked a bit rusty on his comeback in the Derby Trial at Leopardstown won by Delacroix, beaten the thick end of seven lengths in third.

At Epsom he was held up in rear and did best of those trying to come from off the pace as he closed up the running rail in the final furlong.

That effort is worth marking up given the position he came from and it certainly suggested he can excel at this trip.

If Dylan Browne McMonagle can position him handier now, the nature of the Curragh should bring his stamina into play and he looks a certain contender for the prize if the market leader falters.

Arras can restore some Pride

Ralph Beckett will have been bitterly disappointed with PRIDE OF ARRAS' run at Epsom, as the Dante winner lost his unbeaten record and barely got a blow in.

He was slow leaving the gates and took an early bump that shuffled him back to the rear and forced Rossa Ryan to race wide. Too keen, his race was surely lost before it got serious and to finish things off, he didn't appear to handle Epsom coming down around the final bend. That run may be best forgotten.

His dominant York success in May was a sign of his real ability. The New Bay colt raced in midfield and was powerful when asked to challenge in the home straight as he surged home clear of some good horses.

It would be folly to suggest he didn't stay 1m4f based on Epsom and he's more than worthy of another crack at this trip.

Improvement is demanded but, if that run three weeks ago truly wasn't him, it could be forthcoming and he is good enough to be in the firing line at a track likely to suit.