Killarney Tips: Red Letter Backed in Cairn Rouge Stakes

Killarney's summer festival is in full flow, with five days of action at the picturesque Co Kerry layout getting underway on Monday.

The middle day features the Listed Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cairn Rouge Stakes over a mile, race inaugurated in 2014 and won by the likes of Aidan O'Brien (3), Dermot Weld, Jessica Harrington, Ger Lyons, Willie McCreery and Joseph O'Brien in its 11-year history.

A field of 13 fillies were declared for the race, with €30,000 on offer to the winner, and Lyons' Red Letter is forecast to head the betting.

Cairn Rouge Stakes Tips

NAP: Red Letter

Next Best: Bella Isabella

6.501m. 40yds. 10 Declared.
Ir.Stallion Farms EBF Cairn Rouge Stakes of €50,000.00 3-y-o

• Formscan
• Race Info
• Conditions

1st - €30,000.00 2nd - €10,000.00 3rd - €5,000.00 4th - €2,500.00 5th - €1,500.00 6th - €1,000.00 Going - Soft, soft to heavy in places. Overcast

Formscan By Dan McEvoy- RED LETTER sets the clear standard here and should be able to get back to winning ways after narrowly losing out in a race of similar quality. This grey Frankel filly also has an entry in the Irish Oaks and her two-year-old form obviously reads very well, finishing second on two occasions to Irish 1,000 guineas heroine Lake Victoria. Joseph O’Brien runs three in the race with the apparent first-string being Wannabe Royal who was held behind the selection on her latest start, and it is hard to see a reversal of that form. The Ballydoyle contingent is headed by Estatic who never figured up in grade last time in the Ribblesdale, but the drop in trip by four furlongs may also aide her case. Finally, the ever-consistent Fiery Lucy can go close once more in this company.

For three years old fillies only that are EBF eligible and that have not won a Group race
Weights - 9st 2lbs
Penalties - Winner of a Listed race 3lb extra Of two Listed races 5lb extra

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  Odds Shortening Odds Lengthening

813	1st	Red Letter	10/11 4/7	4/5
48	2nd	Fiery Lucy	13/2 4/1	13/2
33	3rd	Ecstatic	8/1 11/1	15/2
139	7th	Wannabe Royal	13/2 10/1	8/1
12	5th	And So To Bed	18/1 11/1	11/1
106	4th	Shiota	22/1 12/1	12/1
71	8th	Orchidaceae	20/1 14/1	18/1
211	10th	Bella Isabella	14/1 20/1	22/1
117	9th	Sweet Chariot		25/1
1210	6th	Tamam Desert		66/1
65	n.r.	Nancy J		22/1
54	n.r.	Mojave River	22/1 40/1	40/1
912	n.r.	Rion Rubette		66/1
Betting Percentage				123%
Each-Way Terms				3 1/5

 

8¹³

Red Letter 4

4/5

1st

Rating: 107

• Odds

Price

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4/5

3 1/5

4⁸

Fiery Lucy 4

13/2

2nd

Rating: 100

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13/2

3 1/5

3³

Ecstatic 4

15/2

3rd

Rating: 96

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15/2

3 1/5

8/1 11/1 18:37

13⁹

Wannabe Royal 4

8/1

7th

Rating: 92

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Price

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8/1

3 1/5

13/2 10/1 18:37

1²

And So To Bed 4

11/1

5th

Rating: 92

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Price

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11/1

3 1/5

16/1 11/1 16:00

10⁶

Shiota 4

12/1

4th

Rating: 93

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12/1

3 1/5

7¹

Orchidaceae 4

18/1

8th

Rating: 96

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18/1

3 1/5

16/1 22/1 14:48

6⁵

Nancy J 4

n.r.

Rating: 90

• Odds

Price

E/W

Moves

2¹¹

Bella Isabella 4

22/1

10th

Rating: 94

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22/1

3 1/5

11⁷

Sweet Chariot 4

25/1

9th

Rating: 91

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Price

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25/1

3 1/5

5⁴

Mojave River 4

n.r.

Rating: 98

• Odds

Price

E/W

Moves

12¹⁰

Tamam Desert 4

66/1

6th

Rating: 89

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66/1

3 1/5

9¹²

Rion Rubette 4

n.r.

Rating: 86

• Odds

Price

E/W

Moves

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Red Letter day for Lyons' filly

Ger Lyons and Colin Keane link up here with RED LETTER, the Juddmonte-owned Frankel filly. She showed clear ability in three runs last year and ran a big race on her comeback in the 1000 Guineas at Newmarket, finishing seventh but beaten just under three lengths in that high-class Rowley Mile Classic.

She went to Navan afterwards for a Listed contest over a mile and it was a little bit of a letdown when she couldn't justify favouritism there, having travelled well before being outbattled by Jessica Harrington's Barnavara in the closing stages.

However, given they had moved well clear of the chasing pack to fight out that finish, the outcome has to be viewed in the context of the knowledge that Barnavara has since come out and won a Group 3 at Naas over further in really good style.

Again, she denied a Lyons inmate in Faiyum there, the front two miles clear, and that form-boost means Red Letter is the one to beat heading for Killarney.

She is 7lb clear on official ratings from her nearest rival on paper and looks set to collect a second win in this race for her trainer/jockey combo, following the success of Viadera in 2019.

Weld's Bella to land a blow

Dermot Weld won this race with Bella Estrella in 2018 and the Rosewell House handler could have an outsider of note in BELLA ISABELLA now in the famous Moyglare silks.

The Wootton Bassett filly only ran once last season as a juvenile but has come forward this year.

She was second behind smart performer California Dreamer on her comeback at Dundalk over a mile in February and then won a Curragh maiden (7f, good) in April.

Next time out she was third behind progressive Vera's Secret in a Group 3 at Leopardstown in May, form that received another boost last week as the winner scooped more Group-race glory at the Foxrock venue. The placed horses from that race have also done well since.

Bella Isabella meanwhile was perhaps given too much to do on her only run since when held up in the GAIN Summer Fillies Handicap at the Curragh before finishing fifth.

She is unexposed at this mile trip and could have plenty more to offer if Leigh Roche can keep her handily placed in the early stages from a wide draw.

In that scenario, the filly looks up to the challenge of outrunning her forecast double-figure odds.