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Formscan  - Tarbat Ness continued his progression when securing a fifth career victory at Newcastle last month. The seven-year-old isn't easily dismissed in his current vein of form, but a 7lb higher mark does demand another career best. With that in mind, the down-in-grade HATYSA is slightly more appealing after hitting the frame in a class 3 at Newcastle recently. Appier and Barenboim are other live threats.

19
/94-
Call My Bluff (IRE) 9,b g 10-2

Make Believe (GB)-Ocean Bluff(Dalakhani)

cp+(140) d1 (The Ffrench Connection Racing)
Rated 82

Last Three Runs
Flat StatisticsRunsWinsPlaces€Level
IRE100-1.00
UK23574.33

15th Oct 25 Nottingham(2m Flat Hcap, Good (Good to Soft in places)) Rated 84 33/1 10-2 D Allan 4th of 8 runners, 5.5L behind St Mawes

8th Jun 25 Goodwood(2m Flat Hcap, Soft) Rated 87 16/1 9-2 Ben Ffrench Davis (5) 9th of 9 runners, 18L behind Aggagio

12th May 23 Chester(2m 2f 140yds Flat Hcap, Soft (Heavy in Places)) Rated 88 11/4Fav 8-6 J F Egan 3rd of 16 runners, nk and 0.75L behind Metier and Zoffee

25
4-12
Barenboim (GB) 8,b g 9-13

Golden Horn (GB)-Labise(Azamour)

cp4(32) (Mr T Dascombe)
Rated 79 Won When Rated 91-85

Last Three Runs
Flat StatisticsRunsWinsPlaces€Level
UK41612-18.76

31st Jan 26 Lingfield(1m 7f 169yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 78 9/2 9-7 Pierre-Louis Jamin 2nd of 9 runners, hd behind Berkshire Sundance

7th Jan 26 Kempton(1m 7f 218yds Flat Hcap, Standard / Slow) Rated 76 3/1 9-5 Pierre-Louis Jamin 1st of 6 runners, by 0.5L and 1.25L from Sax Appeal and Vice President

1st Dec 25 Wolverhampton(2m 120yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 77 11/1 9-6 Pierre-Louis Jamin 4th of 6 runners, 6.75L behind Ribble Vibe

Head to Head

In the last 3 years Barenboim (GB) has met

HorseNo. Of times
Bashful Boy (IRE)1
31st Jan 2026 Lingfield(1m 7f 169yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Barenboim (GB) 2nd (9/2 9-7 Rated 78) Pierre-Louis Jamin 3.50L in front of Bashful Boy (IRE) 7th (9/1 8-11 Rated 73) Jack Dace (9 ran)
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Fleurman (IRE)3
25th Oct 2025 Wolverhampton(2m 120yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Barenboim (GB) 4th (6/1 9-10 Rated 79) Pierre-Louis Jamin 5.50L in front of Fleurman (IRE) 6th (50/1 9-13 Rated 82) Paddy Bradley (6 ran)
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11th Apr 2024 Chelmsford City(1m 5f 66yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Barenboim (GB) 2nd (16/5 9-3 Rated 88) D Tudhope 4.75L in front of Fleurman (IRE) 5th (11/1 9-9 Rated 94) Kieran Shoemark (7 ran)
sp
7th Apr 2023 Newcastle(2m 56yds, Flat, Standard) Fleurman (IRE) 2nd (6/1 9-7 Rated 91) Kevin Stott 2.25L in front of Barenboim (GB) 3rd (7/1 9-7 Rated 96) Jason Watson (9 ran)
sp
Royal Deeside (GB)1
21st Oct 2024 Plumpton(1m 7f 195yds, Hcap Hurdle, Good to Soft) Royal Deeside (GB) 5th (17/2 11-10 Rated 97) Tom Cannon 21.25L in front of Barenboim (GB) 9th (22/1 11-12 Rated 98) G Sheehan (15 ran)
sp
33
0-76
Vaguely Royal (IRE) 6,br g 9-8

Galileo (IRE)-Danilovna(Dansili)

cp+(13) (Eventmasters Racing)
Rated 74 Won When Rated 89-86

Last Three Runs
Flat StatisticsRunsWinsPlaces€Level
UK2036-14.52

19th Feb 26 Newcastle(2m 56yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 77 50/1 8-10 Ryan Kavanagh (5) 6th of 11 runners, 10L behind Team Player

6th Feb 26 Wolverhampton(1m 4f 51yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 81 20/1 9-5 Cieren Fallon 7th of 8 runners, 47.25L behind Nolton Cross

31st Dec 25 Warwick(3m 2f Hcap Hurdle, Good to Soft (Good in places)) Rated 109 40/1 11-0 P Hanlon (5) pulled up of 7 runners, in race won by Benign Dictator

Head to Head

In the last 3 years Vaguely Royal (IRE) has met

HorseNo. Of times
Bashful Boy (IRE)2
11th Oct 2025 Newmarket(2m 2f , Flat Hcap, Good to Firm-Good in places) Bashful Boy (IRE) 11th (80/1 7-13 Rated 77) Amie Waugh 30.50L in front of Vaguely Royal (IRE) 15th (200/1 8-4 Rated 84) Cameron Hardie (19 ran)
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9th May 2025 Chester(2m 2f 140yds, Flat Hcap, Good to Firm) Bashful Boy (IRE) 8th (80/1 7-13 Rated 82) Aiden Brookes 5.56L in front of Vaguely Royal (IRE) 12th (125/1 8-10 Rated 90) Connor Beasley (15 ran)
sp
Fleurman (IRE)2
19th Feb 2026 Newcastle(2m 56yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Vaguely Royal (IRE) 6th (50/1 8-10 Rated 77) Ryan Kavanagh 91.25L in front of Fleurman (IRE) 11th (40/1 8-12 Rated 74) Gina Mangan (11 ran)
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1st Mar 2024 Lingfield(1m 7f 169yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Vaguely Royal (IRE) 3rd (5/1 9-3 Rated 92) Oisin Murphy 32.91L in front of Fleurman (IRE) 12th (25/1 9-10 Rated 96) Daniel Muscutt (13 ran)
sp
Hatysa (GB)1
19th Feb 2026 Newcastle(2m 56yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Hatysa (GB) 3rd (7/4Fav 8-11 Rated 77) Callum Hutchinson 3.25L in front of Vaguely Royal (IRE) 6th (50/1 8-10 Rated 77) Ryan Kavanagh (11 ran)
sp
41
3-13
Appier (IRE) 7,b g 9-8

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE)-Dame Lucy(Refuse To Bend)

hd+(42) (Mr D Allen)
Rated 74 Won When Rated 80-81-76

Last Three Runs
Flat StatisticsRunsWinsPlaces€Level
UK4510130.65

21st Jan 26 Kempton(1m 7f 218yds Flat Hcap, Standard / Slow) Rated 75 9/2 9-10 K T O Neill 3rd of 8 runners, 0.75L and 2.5L behind Knight Templar and Educator

6th Jan 26 Wolverhampton(2m 120yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 73 6/1 9-12 K T O Neill 1st of 6 runners, by 0.5L and 1.75L from Circuit Breaker and Bashful Boy

20th Dec 25 Wolverhampton(1m 4f 51yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 74 20/1 9-13 K T O Neill 3rd of 10 runners, 2.25L and 5.5L behind Westcombe and Charlie s Choice

Head to Head

In the last 3 years Appier (IRE) has met

HorseNo. Of times
Bashful Boy (IRE)2
21st Jan 2026 Kempton(1m 7f 218yds, Flat Hcap, Standard / Slow) Appier (IRE) 3rd (9/2 9-10 Rated 75) K T O'Neill .06L in front of Bashful Boy (IRE) 4th (4/1 9-9 Rated 74) Edward Greatrex (8 ran)
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6th Jan 2026 Wolverhampton(2m 120yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Appier (IRE) 1st (6/1 9-12 Rated 73) K T O'Neill 2.25L in front of Bashful Boy (IRE) 3rd (7/4Fav 10-0 Rated 75) Rob Hornby (6 ran)
sp
56
11-3
Last Three Runs
Flat StatisticsRunsWinsPlaces€Level
UK9314.87

19th Feb 26 Newcastle(2m 56yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 77 7/4Fav 8-11 Callum Hutchinson 3rd of 11 runners, 0.75L and 6L behind Team Player and Weddell Sea

21st Sep 25 Southwell(2m 102yds Flat Hcap, Standard / Slow) Rated 75 11/4 9-1 P J McDonald 1st of 4 runners, by 0.5L and 0.75L from Sax Appeal and Simiyann

8th Sep 25 Newcastle(2m 56yds Flat Hcap, Standard / Slow) Rated 71 8/13Fav 9-4 P J McDonald 1st of 5 runners, by 4.25L and 45L from Weddell Sea and Gastronomy

Head to Head

In the last 3 years Hatysa (GB) has met

HorseNo. Of times
Fleurman (IRE)1
19th Feb 2026 Newcastle(2m 56yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Hatysa (GB) 3rd (7/4Fav 8-11 Rated 77) Callum Hutchinson 94.50L in front of Fleurman (IRE) 11th (40/1 8-12 Rated 74) Gina Mangan (11 ran)
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Vaguely Royal (IRE)1
19th Feb 2026 Newcastle(2m 56yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Hatysa (GB) 3rd (7/4Fav 8-11 Rated 77) Callum Hutchinson 3.25L in front of Vaguely Royal (IRE) 6th (50/1 8-10 Rated 77) Ryan Kavanagh (11 ran)
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64
1-11
Tarbat Ness (GB) 7,gr g 9-6

Reliable Man (GB)-Ethics Girl(Hernando)

bl8(17) (The 1997 Partnership)
Rated 72

Last Three Runs
Flat StatisticsRunsWinsPlaces€Level
UK32512-6.62

15th Feb 26 Newcastle(2m 56yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 65 15/8 9-12 Gina Mangan 1st of 5 runners, by 6L and 2.5L from Clansman and Billy Bathgate

13th Jan 26 Newcastle(2m 56yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 60 15/2 9-12 Gina Mangan 1st of 8 runners, by 0.75L and 6.5L from Dollar s Dream and Billy Bathgate

22nd Nov 25 Huntingdon(2m 3f 137yds Hcap Hurdle, Good to Soft-Soft in places) Rated 100 8/1 12-0 J M Quinlan 6th of 13 runners, 24.13L behind A Good Yomp

710
0-30
Fleurman (IRE) 8,gr g 9-6

Mastercraftsman (IRE)-Fleur De Nuit(Montjeu)

cp+(13) (The Pat Morris Racing Club)
Rated 72 Won When Rated 86-83

Last Three Runs
Flat StatisticsRunsWinsPlaces€Level
UK2544-4.12

19th Feb 26 Newcastle(2m 56yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 74 40/1 8-12 Gina Mangan 11th of 11 runners, 101.25L behind Team Player

2nd Feb 26 Wolverhampton(2m 120yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 75 66/1 1 Paddy Bradley 3rd of 9 runners, 0.75L and 1.25L behind Francesco Baracca and Sneaky Blinder

8th Nov 25 Wolverhampton(1m 5f 219yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 80 150/1 9-11 Kaiya Fraser 10th of 10 runners, 48.5L behind Artisan Dancer

Head to Head

In the last 3 years Fleurman (IRE) has met

HorseNo. Of times
Barenboim (GB)3
25th Oct 2025 Wolverhampton(2m 120yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Barenboim (GB) 4th (6/1 9-10 Rated 79) Pierre-Louis Jamin 5.50L in front of Fleurman (IRE) 6th (50/1 9-13 Rated 82) Paddy Bradley (6 ran)
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11th Apr 2024 Chelmsford City(1m 5f 66yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Barenboim (GB) 2nd (16/5 9-3 Rated 88) D Tudhope 4.75L in front of Fleurman (IRE) 5th (11/1 9-9 Rated 94) Kieran Shoemark (7 ran)
sp
7th Apr 2023 Newcastle(2m 56yds, Flat, Standard) Fleurman (IRE) 2nd (6/1 9-7 Rated 91) Kevin Stott 2.25L in front of Barenboim (GB) 3rd (7/1 9-7 Rated 96) Jason Watson (9 ran)
sp
Vaguely Royal (IRE)2
19th Feb 2026 Newcastle(2m 56yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Vaguely Royal (IRE) 6th (50/1 8-10 Rated 77) Ryan Kavanagh 91.25L in front of Fleurman (IRE) 11th (40/1 8-12 Rated 74) Gina Mangan (11 ran)
sp
1st Mar 2024 Lingfield(1m 7f 169yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Vaguely Royal (IRE) 3rd (5/1 9-3 Rated 92) Oisin Murphy 32.91L in front of Fleurman (IRE) 12th (25/1 9-10 Rated 96) Daniel Muscutt (13 ran)
sp
Hatysa (GB)1
19th Feb 2026 Newcastle(2m 56yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Hatysa (GB) 3rd (7/4Fav 8-11 Rated 77) Callum Hutchinson 94.50L in front of Fleurman (IRE) 11th (40/1 8-12 Rated 74) Gina Mangan (11 ran)
sp
87
-347
Bashful Boy (IRE) 10,b g 9-5

Magician (IRE)-Bacheliere(Include)

cp+(32) d2 (Mrs Lynne Webb)
Rated 71 Won When Rated 74

Last Three Runs
Flat StatisticsRunsWinsPlaces€Level
IRE4110.00
UK2639-12.50

31st Jan 26 Lingfield(1m 7f 169yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 73 9/1 8-11 Jack Dace (5) 7th of 9 runners, 3.63L behind Berkshire Sundance

21st Jan 26 Kempton(1m 7f 218yds Flat Hcap, Standard / Slow) Rated 74 4/1 9-9 Edward Greatrex 4th of 8 runners, 3.31L behind Knight Templar

6th Jan 26 Wolverhampton(2m 120yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 75 7/4Fav 1 Rob Hornby 3rd of 6 runners, 0.5L and 1.75L behind Appier and Circuit Breaker

Head to Head

In the last 3 years Bashful Boy (IRE) has met

HorseNo. Of times
Barenboim (GB)1
31st Jan 2026 Lingfield(1m 7f 169yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Barenboim (GB) 2nd (9/2 9-7 Rated 78) Pierre-Louis Jamin 3.50L in front of Bashful Boy (IRE) 7th (9/1 8-11 Rated 73) Jack Dace (9 ran)
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Appier (IRE)2
21st Jan 2026 Kempton(1m 7f 218yds, Flat Hcap, Standard / Slow) Appier (IRE) 3rd (9/2 9-10 Rated 75) K T O'Neill .06L in front of Bashful Boy (IRE) 4th (4/1 9-9 Rated 74) Edward Greatrex (8 ran)
sp
6th Jan 2026 Wolverhampton(2m 120yds, Flat Hcap, Standard) Appier (IRE) 1st (6/1 9-12 Rated 73) K T O'Neill 2.25L in front of Bashful Boy (IRE) 3rd (7/4Fav 10-0 Rated 75) Rob Hornby (6 ran)
sp
Vaguely Royal (IRE)2
11th Oct 2025 Newmarket(2m 2f , Flat Hcap, Good to Firm-Good in places) Bashful Boy (IRE) 11th (80/1 7-13 Rated 77) Amie Waugh 30.50L in front of Vaguely Royal (IRE) 15th (200/1 8-4 Rated 84) Cameron Hardie (19 ran)
sp
9th May 2025 Chester(2m 2f 140yds, Flat Hcap, Good to Firm) Bashful Boy (IRE) 8th (80/1 7-13 Rated 82) Aiden Brookes 5.56L in front of Vaguely Royal (IRE) 12th (125/1 8-10 Rated 90) Connor Beasley (15 ran)
sp
98
208-
Last Three Runs
Flat StatisticsRunsWinsPlaces€Level
UK1203-12.00

3rd Oct 25 Hexham(2m 4f 15yds Hcap Chase, Good to Soft) Rated 94 5/1 11-8 Harry Reed pulled up of 8 runners, in race won by Heeztheboy

27th Aug 25 Hexham(2m 4f 15yds Hcap Chase, Good (Good to Firm in places)) Rated 91 9/4Fav 11-0 Harry Reed 1st of 7 runners, by hd and 2.25L from Huit Reflets and Cracking Destiny

5th Jul 25 Carlisle(2m 1f 47yds Flat Hcap, Soft) Rated 65 20/1 10-4 Gina Mangan 8th of 9 runners, 24.88L behind Banderas

Head to Head

In the last 3 years Royal Deeside (GB) has met

HorseNo. Of times
Barenboim (GB)1
21st Oct 2024 Plumpton(1m 7f 195yds, Hcap Hurdle, Good to Soft) Royal Deeside (GB) 5th (17/2 11-10 Rated 97) Tom Cannon 21.25L in front of Barenboim (GB) 9th (22/1 11-12 Rated 98) G Sheehan (15 ran)
sp
102
4125
Arc Zoosve (GB) 5,b g 8-10

Time Test (GB)-Jostle(Brocco)

cp6(40) (Mr Iain Francis)
Rated 62

Last Three Runs
Flat StatisticsRunsWinsPlaces€Level
UK1626-7.12

23rd Jan 26 Southwell(2m 102yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 61 9/4JFav 9-13 R Havlin 5th of 9 runners, 17.25L behind Cosmic Soul

22nd Jan 26 Southwell(1m 6f 21yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 61 10/3 9-4 R Havlin 2nd of 9 runners, nk behind Prince Quattro

7th Jan 26 Lingfield(1m 7f 169yds Flat Hcap, Standard) Rated 58 15/8Fav 9-8 R Havlin 1st of 10 runners, by hd and 0.5L from Taranjerine and Tuba

Probable SP 9/4 Tarbat Ness, 7/2 Barenboim, 4/1 Hatysa, 13/2 Appier, 10/1 Arc Zoosve, 12/1 Bashful Boy, Royal Deeside, 25/1 Call My Bluff, Vaguely Royal, 50/1 Fleurman.

Symbols Explained

WS Wind Surgery ts2 Tongue Strap vs2 Visor hd2 Hood es2 Eye Shield ec2 Eye Cover cp2 Cheekpiece bl2 Blinkers tt2 Tongue Tie bo2 Blinkers one cowl e2 Ear Plugs p2 Pacifier pc2 Pacifier with cowls ps2 Pacifier one cowl sr2 Shadow Roll co2 Cheekpiece one side sb2 Sheepskin Browband cc2 Cornell Collar xb2 Crossed Nose Band cd2 Course and Distance Winner c2 Course Winner d2 Distance Winner bf Beaten Favourite on Last Run

The superscript number on headgear bl2 indicates number of times worn. A plus bl+ indicates more than 10 times where as red background bl1indicates first time.

Trainer/Jockey In Form last 21 days

Trainer/Jockey
Wins
Runs
%
J Berry/Gina Mangan
1
2
50

Neil King/Rob Hornby
1
2
50

For Trainer/Jockeys in this race

Trainers In Form last 21 days

Trainer
Wins
Runs
%
A Balding
9
27
33

Neil King
6
9
66

I Williams
5
52
9

David Pipe
4
26
15

Patrick Morris
2
48
4

J Berry
1
2
50

R Bandey
1
11
9

For Trainers in this race

Jockeys In Form last 21 days

Jockey
Wins
Runs
%
Rob Hornby
9
38
23

K T O'Neill
3
33
9

Joanna Mason
2
23
8

Gina Mangan
2
24
8

Oisin Murphy
2
14
14

Pierre-Louis Jamin
1
6
16

Paddy Bradley
1
18
5

James P Sullivan
1
12
8

Edward Greatrex
1
14
7

For Jockeys in this race

Flat Trainer Stats for Southwell

Trainer
Wins
Runs
%
A Balding
70
386
18

I Williams
41
286
14

Tom Dascombe
31
140
22

Patrick Morris
7
92
8

D F Davis
4
48
8

J Berry
2
24
8

David Pipe
1
22
5

Neil King
1
13
8

R Bandey
0
5
0

For Trainers in this race

Flat Trainer Stats for Southwell

Jockey
Wins
Runs
%
K T O'Neill
78
818
10

P Mulrennan
71
563
13

Joanna Mason
36
374
10

James P Sullivan
27
301
9

Rob Hornby
24
222
11

Oisin Murphy
23
145
16

Pierre-Louis Jamin
14
81
17

Paddy Bradley
7
36
19

Edward Greatrex
5
50
10

Gina Mangan
3
51
6

For Jockeys in this race

Course Form for Southwell

Horse
Wins
Runs
Call My Bluff (IRE)
0
1
Barenboim (GB)
0
5
Vaguely Royal (IRE)
0
1
Appier (IRE)
0
3
Hatysa (GB)
2
3
Fleurman (IRE)
0
1
Bashful Boy (IRE)
0
3
Royal Deeside (GB)
0
1
Arc Zoosve (GB)
0
8